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2015 Recap: High Yield Bonds, Instability, and Financial Contagion

 
2015 recap

“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” -Yogi Berra

 

Is this the start of a high yield bond rout that many bond experts have been predicting?

Is the S&P 500 performance this year a good indicator of the overall market?

Will instability in the bond market spread to other asset classes?

What is the blueprint for the next financial crisis?

These are all questions that clients have asked recently and I thought this would be a good chance to discuss these issues as a wrap up of 2015.

Lets start by taking a look at what has happened this year, where we stand today, and try to pass some judgement on what could happen in 2016. Normally I don’t write about “predictions”. Yogi Berra was a wise man. However I think this post is relevant to the nature of the markets and the growing instability that is occurring under the surface.

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13 Yogi Berra Quotes – Learn What the Legend Can Teach You About Stock Trading

 

 

Yogi Berra Quotes

 

 

“It ain’t over till its over.”   – Yogi Berra

For the famous NY Yankee catcher, it is finally over.

The famous “philosopher” and NY Yankee catcher, Yogi Berra, passed away last week at the age of 90. It truly is a sad day for baseball. While Yogi was a famous NY Yankee, he was also well know for his humorous quotes or Yogisms due to their paradoxical and obviously redundant nature.

Even if you are not a fan of baseball or the Yankees (I cannot blame you for that), you might have heard or even said some of his quotes in the past without knowing they were his. In memory of his contributions to baseball and the American lexicon I decided to write this post about his famous quotes and how they apply to the financial markets.

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The Stock Market Crash 2015 – 9 Stock Market Tips to Help You Sleep at Night

 

2015 stock market crash

“We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful”

-Warren Buffett

Stock Market Crash 2015 – Should you be scared?

stock market crash 20152015 has been an interesting year for stock investors. 2015 started out with the S&P 500 opening at 2058.9. From there the index has fluctuated between +3.8% and -4.1%. When investors are accustomed to getting 6 years in a row of positive gains, it is hard to imagine what a down year looks like. In the past week the S&P 500 is down about 10% as of this writing. Should you be scared?

Maybe. But it really depends on what you are invested in and how it is structured. If this recent 10% drop is causing you to lose sleep, then you need help.

Here are 9 tips for helping you bring your portfolio to your sleeping point.

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How Self Directed IRAs Can Help Protect You From Stock Market Crashes and Halted Trading on Exchanges

Self Directed IRAs can help protect you from stock market crashes

I never attempt to make money on the stock market. I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.   – Warren Buffett

If you were paying attention yesterday, then you probably heard that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) halted trading for 3.5 hours and Chinese stock market continue to crash. So much for Wall Street having a lazy summer.

Should you worry about these events?

Yes… and No.

As of today you should not have much to worry about… unless you have money in Greek banks, then you are allowed to sweat. While you may not have much to worry about today, what if these events were more pronounced? What if they impacted your investments in a more direct way? What if the Greek crisis causes stock markets to crash. What if the stock market closed and didn’t reopen for 5 years? Would you be happy with your investments?

Warren Buffett has made a statement in the past that investors should invest as if the stock market would be shut down and not reopen for the next 5 years. What companies would you want to hold in this scenario? Would you want to hold stocks at all?

Lets take that concept a step further. Do you have 100% of your retirement funds in mutual funds, stocks, or bonds? If so, then why? Is it because you want to invest in the stock market? Or is it because you are not aware that you can invest outside the stock market? If it is the later, then you are in good company. More than 80% of the investing public is not aware that they can invest their IRA outside the stock market. Less than 10% is actually investing in alternative investments with their self-directed IRA or self-directed 401k.

Are traditional investments better than alternative investments…

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